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OPEC and the IEA expect China's oil demand to show growth in 2023 of 7.6% and 12.1%, respectively. OPEC has dismissed fears of that demand growth for oil in China is fading, describing negative sentiment as "overblown" in a recent report. OPEC's forecasts show China accounting for 24.6% of global oil demand growth in the first half of 2024, according to Reuters calculations. Consultancies Wood Mackenzie, Rystad Energy and Energy Aspects respectively forecast China's first-half 2024 oil demand to grow by 3.7%, 4.0% and 4.4% versus the same period in 2023. Energy Aspects expects first-half diesel demand to be flat from a year earlier.

Persons: Aly, Consultancies Wood Mackenzie, Rystad, Lin Ye, Xia, Andrew Hayley, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, of Petroleum, International Energy Agency, OPEC, Rystad Energy, JET, Reuters Graphics Reuters, National Bureau of Statistics, Thomson Locations: Zhuhai, China, Rights BEIJING, OPEC, Russia, Beijing

The capacity payments will be calculated based on fixed costs of 330 yuan ($45.25) per kilowatt per year for coal plants. Analysts said the move was important to ensure the financial viability of seldom-utilised, backup coal power, which is used for demand peaks or when renewable power generation is insufficient. However, observers also cautioned that the policy could risk entrenching inefficient coal power in China's energy system, despite its rapid expansion of renewable power generation capacity. "Capacity-based electricity pricing for coal power will further incentivise state-owned enterprises in China to build new coal power projects in the short term. Capacity payments should be for all power producers, not only for coal power," said Zhang Kai, deputy program director for Greenpeace East Asia in Beijing.

Persons: David Fishman, Xuewan Chen, Group's Fishman, Zhang Kai, Colleen Howe, Andrew Hayley, Edmund Klamann, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Kim Coghill Organizations: National Development, Reform Commission, Reuters, Analysts, Lantau, LSEG, Jinneng Holding, Power Co, Centre for Research, Energy, Clean, Greenpeace East, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China, Shanghai, Beijing, Shanxi, Jiangxi Ganneng, Hunan, Greenpeace East Asia

China inflation data released on Thursday showed that October CPI fell 0.2% year on year, while PPI data fell 2.6% year on year. Earlier this week, customs data showed that China's total exports of goods and services contracted faster than expected, although the country's crude imports in October were robust. On the plus side for oil demand, China's central bank governor, Pan Gongsheng, said the country is expected to achieve its annual growth target of 5% for this year. U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 11.9 million barrels over the week to Nov. 3, sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), however, has delayed release of weekly oil inventory data until Nov. 15 for a system upgrade.

Persons: Dun Jiao, Tatiana Meel, Brent, Pan Gongsheng, Andrew Hayley, Tom Hogue Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, PPI, Reuters, American Petroleum Institute, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Barclays, Thomson Locations: Nakhodka, Russia, Rights BEIJING, China, United States, Venezuela, American

"Increasing geopolitical risk in the Middle East should support oil prices ... higher volatility can be expected" analysts from ANZ Bank said in a client note. An increase in Saudi output would have helped to relieve supply tightness after months of supply cuts from key producers Saudi Arabia and Russia. A normalisation of Saudi-Israeli relations would likely freeze recent moves toward detente between Saudi Arabia and Iran. "For this conflict to have a lasting and meaningful impact on oil markets, there must be a sustained reduction in oil supply or transport," Vivek Dhar, an analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said in a note. "If Western countries officially link Iranian intelligence to the Hamas attack, then Iran’s oil supply and exports face imminent downside risks," Dhar said.

Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Brent, WTI, Iran's, Vivek Dhar, Dhar, Andrew Hayley, Jamie Freed, Sonali Paul Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Hamas, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Saturday, ANZ Bank, Israel, White, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Rights BEIJING, Palestinian, Israel, Gaza, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Riyadh, Saudi, Russia, Iran, Lebanon

Oil rigs are seen at Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas drilling, in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina January 21, 2019. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Oct 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices jumped more than $3 a barrel in early Asian trade on Monday, as dramatic military clashes between Israeli and Hamas forces over the weekend deepened political uncertainty across the Middle East. "Increasing geopolitical risk in the Middle East should support oil prices... higher volatility can be expected" analysts from ANZ Bank said in a client note. "For this conflict to have a lasting and meaningful impact on oil markets, there must be a sustained reduction in oil supply or transport," Vivek Dhar, an analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said in a note. "If Western countries officially link Iranian intelligence to the Hamas attack, then Iran’s oil supply and exports face imminent downside risks," Dhar said.

Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Iran's, Vivek Dhar, Dhar, Andrew Hayley, Jamie Freed Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Hamas, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Saturday, Israel, ANZ Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Rights BEIJING, Palestinian, Israel, Gaza, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Riyadh, Saudi, Iran, Lebanon

Pump jacks operate at sunset in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsTOKYO/BEIJING, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Tuesday amid concerns that fuel demand will be crimped by major central banks holding interest rates higher for longer, even with supply expected to be tight. Higher interest rates slow economic growth, which curbs oil demand. With China's Golden Week holiday starting from Sunday, oil prices could gain support from a pick-up in travel and resulting oil product demand from the world's second biggest oil consumer. Oil prices have risen by around 30% since mid-year driven mostly by tighter supply, wiping off 0.5 percentage points from the global GDP growth in the second half of this year, according to JP Morgan.

Persons: Nick Oxford, Tina Teng, Moody's, Fitch, CMC's Teng, JP Morgan, Baden Moore, Katya Golubkova, Andrew Hayley, Sonali Paul Organizations: Midland , Texas U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Brent, U.S, West Texas, CMC Markets, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, bbl, National Australia Bank, Thomson Locations: Midland , Texas, Rights TOKYO, BEIJING, Auckland, U.S, China, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Moscow, Tokyo, Beijing

Xie Xuguang, from CNOOC Gas and Power Group's research centre, told a conference on Thursday that China's total gas demand may reach 396.4 billion cubic metres (bcm) this year. "We're expecting industrial gas demand to recover in the second half. Gas demand growth this year was seen at between 5.7% and 7.4%, according to estimates this week by ICIS, Energy Aspects and SIA Energy. China's total gas demand was forecast to peak in 2040 at 700 bcm, Xie added, echoing a previous forecast by state major Sinopec. Imports of both piped gas and liquefied natural gas were both expected to increase to meet rising domestic demand.

Persons: Stringer, Xie Xuguang, Xie, CNOOC, Andrew Hayley, Chen Aizhu, Christian Schmollinger, Michael Perry Organizations: Sinopec, Inner, Inner Mongolia Autonomous, REUTERS, CNOOC Gas, Power, ICIS, SIA Energy, Imports, Thomson Locations: Erdos, Inner Mongolia, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, China, TIANJIN, Japan, Russia's, Siberia, Russia

August throughput was also up from July's 14.87 million bpd. Year-to-date throughput gained 11.9% from a year earlier to 491.4 million tons, or 14.76 million bpd. The NBS data on Friday also showed China's domestic crude oil production in August gained 3.1% from a year earlier to 17.47 million metric tons, or 4.11 million bpd. The year-to-date volume rose 2.1% from a year earlier to 139.85 million tons, or 4.2 million bpd. Natural gas production last month rose 6.3% from a year earlier to 18.1 billion cubic metres (bcm), the NBS said.

Persons: Andrew Hayley, Chen Aizhu, Christian Schmollinger Organizations: Air, National Bureau of Statistics, NBS, Thomson

[1/2] Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro gestures during a meeting with Chile's Ambassador to Venezuela Jaime Gazmuri, at Miraflores Palace, in Caracas, Venezuela August 16, 2023. Energy trade, debt repayment and new financing likely are the main focus of the Sept. 8-14 visit, officials and sources said. Beijing's decision to host Maduro coincides with a G20 summit in New Delhi this weekend, which Chinese President Xi Jinping will not attend. In 2020, the Maduro administration and Chinese banks again agreed to a grace period on some $19 billion of Chinese debt, according to Reuters reporting. Despite sanctions on Venezuela, China imported around 390,000 barrels per day of crude from the country between January and August this year, totalling roughly 12.9 million metric tons, data from commodities consultancy Vortexa showed.

Persons: Nicolas Maduro, Venezuela Jaime Gazmuri, Leonardo Fernandez Viloria, Han Zheng, Wang Yi, hegemonism, Han, Pedro Tellechea, Tellechea, Xi Jinping, Maduro, Hugo Chavez's, Joe Biden's, PDVSA, CNPC, Donald Trump, Andrew Hayley, Liz Lee, Joe Cash, Vivian Seuqera, Mayela, Marianna Parraga, Christopher Cushing, Frances Kerry, Marguerita Choy Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, West, Energy, China National Petroleum Corp, Venezuelan, Venezuelan Oil, Shanghai International Energy Exchange, Shanghai Petroleum, Natural Gas Exchange, South, Shanghai, Mayela Armas, Thomson Locations: Venezuela, Miraflores, Caracas, Rights BEIJING, CARACAS, China, OPEC, Beijing, Shanghai, Asia, New Delhi, Malaysia, South American, Houston

[1/2] Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro gestures during a meeting with Chile's Ambassador to Venezuela Jaime Gazmuri, at Miraflores Palace, in Caracas, Venezuela August 16, 2023. REUTERS/Leonardo Fernandez Viloria/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Sept 8 (Reuters) - Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro will visit China over Sept. 8-14, China's foreign ministry said on Friday, marking renewed engagement between the two countries amid deepening tensions between Beijing and Western capitals. The visit coincides with the G20 summit in New Delhi this weekend, which China's president Xi Jinping will not attend. China is the world's largest importers of crude oil, while Venezuela has the largest proven reserves. The company stopped carrying Venezuelan oil in August 2019 after the Trump administration tightened sanctions against the South American exporter.

Persons: Nicolas Maduro, Venezuela Jaime Gazmuri, Leonardo Fernandez Viloria, Wang Yi, Delcy Rodriguez, Xi Jinping, Maduro, Xi, Trump, Hugo Chavez, Andrew Hayley, Liz Lee, Christopher Cushing Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Venezuelan, UN, Energy, South, Thomson Locations: Venezuela, Miraflores, Caracas, Rights BEIJING, China, Beijing, Shanghai, New Delhi, Kpler, Malaysia, South American

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/Files Acquire Licensing RightsSummary Crude imports jump 30.9% from last year to 12.43 million bpdNatural gas imports up 22.7% from last yearRefined fuel exports rise month-on-monthBEIJING, Sept 7 (Reuters) - China's crude oil imports surged in August, customs data showed on Thursday, as refiners built inventories and increased processing to benefit from higher profits from exporting fuel. China's imports have increased from last year since domestic fuel demand is no longer being suppressed by widespread curbs to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the broader outlook for China's economy remains gloomy, with a weaker property sector and sluggish domestic consumption weighing on fuel demand. read moreAt the same time, oil product exports are rising as refiners cash in on rising profit margins from selling fuel overseas. Refined fuel exports last month rose to 5.89 million tons, customs said, up from 5.31 million tons in July and 23.3% than a year earlier.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Xu Peng, Xu, Andrew Hayley, Tom Hogue Organizations: REUTERS, Administration, Customs, Citi, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing

REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Oil prices ticked up in Asian trade on Wednesday, as markets weighed weak demand indicators from top importer China and the prospect of further U.S. rate hikes against potential supply tightness. "Concerns over higher interest rates and sluggish demand in China are expected to outweigh tightening supply from OPEC+ in the short term." China, the world's second-largest economy, is considered crucial to shoring up oil demand over the rest of the year. That was a slightly smaller draw than a drop of 2.9 million barrels analysts expected in a Reuters poll. "Following the massive draw of 6.2 million barrels a week earlier, overall supplies conditions still lean on the tighter end," said Jun Rong Yeap, a market strategist at IG in Singapore.

Persons: Lucy Nicholson, Brent, Jackson, Hiroyuki Kikukawa, Rong Yeap, Yuka Obayashi, Andrew Hayley, Sonali Paul, Clarence Fernandez Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, China, West Texas, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal, NS, Nissan Securities, Organization of, Petroleum, American Petroleum Institute, IG, Energy Information Administration, Thomson Locations: Bakersfield , California, Rights BEIJING, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, United States, Singapore, U.S, Tokyo, Beijing

With equipment idling as construction slows and dwindling exports curb manufacturing, diesel demand is likely to ebb. Rystad Energy lowered its forecast for China's diesel demand for July to December this year to 3.81 million barrels per day (bpd) from an earlier outlook of 3.9 million bpd, though the new forecast is up 3.8% from the first half of 2023. "Diesel demand is still growing, but at a lower-than-expected rate," said Lin Ye, a Beijing-based downstream analyst at Rystad, citing the ailing property sector and deteriorating trade environment. An uptick in Chinese diesel demand earlier this year, driven by resurgent road freight transport in the first quarter, has lost momentum. August diesel exports are estimated at 650,000 to 800,000 tons, down from July's estimate of 1 million tons, data compiled by consultancy Longzhong and China-based trading analysts showed.

Persons: Aly, Lin Ye, Xia Shiqing, Wood Mackenzie, Mia Geng, Andrew Hayley, Trixie Yap, Christian Schmollinger Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Energy, International Energy Agency, IEA, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: Huangpu, Shanghai, China, Rights BEIJING, Beijing, Asia, Longzhong, Singapore

Total refinery throughput in the world's second-largest oil consumer was 63.13 million metric tons last month, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed. Production was up slightly from the 14.83 million bpd of oil processed in June. Domestic fuel demand has picked up with the arrival of the summer travel season, notably in gasoline and jet fuel. China's crude oil imports in July pared back from close-to-record levels during the previous month, totalling 43.7 million metric tons, or 10.3 million bpd, according to the customs data. The NBS data on Tuesday also showed China's domestic crude oil production in July was 17.31 million metric tons, or 4.1 million bpd, versus 17.13 million metric tons in 2022.

Persons: Dominique Patton, refiners, Production, Andrew Hayley, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Shandong Haiyou Petrochemical Group, REUTERS, National Bureau of Statistics, Reuters, Zhuochuang, Thomson Locations: Shandong, county, Shandong province, China, BEIJING

REUTERS/Thomas Peter/File photoBEIJING, Aug 13 (Reuters) - China's State Council issued guidelines on Sunday that it said would further optimize the country's foreign investment environment and attract more foreign investment. The State Council said in a document containing 24 guidelines that authorities should increase protection of the rights and interests of foreign investors, including strengthening enforcement of intellectual property rights. The document also announced guidelines to increase fiscal support and tax incentives for foreign-invested enterprises, such as temporarily exempting withholding income tax for foreign investors' reinvestment of their profits into China. The State Council said it would explore a "convenient and secure management mechanism" for cross-border data flows. Reporting by Andrew Hayley and Ethan Wang; Editing by Andrew Heavens and Bernadette BaumOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Thomas Peter, Andrew Hayley, Ethan Wang, Andrew Heavens, Bernadette Baum Organizations: National People's Congress, REUTERS, State, The State Council, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING

BEIJING, Aug 13 (Reuters) - The death toll from a mudslide last week in China's northwestern Shaanxi province has risen to four, state radio said on Sunday, as the country grapples with unusually high summer rainfall. TYPHOON WEAKENSMeanwhile, Typhoon Khanun weakened into a tropical depression when it made landfall in China's Liaoning province on Friday night. Overnight rainfall in Liaoning peaked at 52 millimetres (2 inches) per hour, with four reservoirs exceeding flood limits, CCTV said. A video posted by state media People's Daily showed thick swirling clouds hanging low above the ground, darkening the sky. Reporting by Andrew Hayley and Ethan Wang; Editing by Raju Gopalakrishnan and Jamie FreedOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Typhoon Khanun, Khanun, Doksuri, Andrew Hayley, Ethan Wang, Raju Gopalakrishnan, Jamie Freed Organizations: China Central Television, Xinhua, Liaoning province's Anshan, Flood, Drought, Ministry of Emergency Management, CCTV, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China's, Shaanxi, Xian, China's Liaoning, Liaoning, Tianjin, Chongqing, China, Xinjiang

BEIJING, Aug 13 (Reuters) - The death toll from a mudslide last week in China's northwestern Shaanxi province has risen to four, state radio said on Sunday. State-owned China Central Television (CCTV) had earlier reported that Friday's mudslide in the city of Xi'an, which followed heavy rainfall in the region, left a total of 18 people dead or missing, with two confirmed casualties. Rescue work was underway with a total of 81 people and 11 vehicles deployed at the site，the state radio report said. Towns and cities across northern China have been lashed by torrential rain and flooding in recent weeks causing multiple deaths and extensive damage, after Typhoon Doksuri made landfall in the country on July 28. Reporting by Andrew Hayley; Editing by Raju GopalakrishnanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Typhoon Doksuri, Andrew Hayley, Raju Gopalakrishnan Organizations: Sunday . State, China Central Television, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China's, Shaanxi, Xi'an, Towns, China

A 3D-printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed OPEC logo in this illustration picture, April 14, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File PhotoSummary OPEC flags healthy oil market fundamentals in second halfUS consumer prices rise moderately in JulyChina tips into deflation as efforts to stoke recovery falterBEIJING, Aug 11 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell marginally on Friday as investors weighed optimistic demand forecasts from the OPEC producer group against mixed economic data in top importer China. Brent crude fell 15 cents to $86.25 a barrel at 0515 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 13 cents at $82.69 a barrel. Market sentiment was also lifted by Thursday's U.S. consumer prices data for July, which fuelled speculation the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its aggressive rate hike cycle. Data this week also showed China's consumer prices fell into deflation and factory gate prices extended declines in July, raising concerns about fuel demand in the world's second-largest economy.

Persons: Dado, Brent, Tina Teng, Teng, Baden Moore, Moore, Stephanie Kelly, Andrew Hayley, Shri Navaratnam, Simon Cameron Organizations: REUTERS, China, U.S, West Texas, CMC Markets, The, of Petroleum Exporting, Thursday's U.S, Federal Reserve, National Australia Bank, bbl, Thomson Locations: China, BEIJING, OPEC, Auckland, June's, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Ukraine, Baden, 2H23, New York, Beijing

A 3D-printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed OPEC logo in this illustration picture, April 14, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File PhotoSummary OPEC flags healthy oil market fundamentals in second halfUS consumer prices rise moderately in JulyChina tips into deflation as efforts to stoke recovery falterBEIJING, Aug 11 (Reuters) - Oil prices were largely unchanged in Asian morning trade as investors weighed optimistic demand forecasts from the OPEC producer group against mixed economic data in top importer China. In 2024, "solid" economic growth amid continued improvements in China is expected to boost oil consumption, it added. Market sentiment was also lifted by Thursday's U.S. consumer prices data for July, which fuelled speculation the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its aggressive rate hike cycle. However, Teng also noted that "China’s sluggish economic data and the retreat on Wall Street weighs on risk sentiment, and a strengthened USD also pressured commodity prices".

Persons: Dado, Brent, Tina Teng, Teng, Baden Moore, Moore, Stephanie Kelly, Andrew Hayley, Shri Navaratnam, Simon Cameron Organizations: REUTERS, China, U.S, West Texas, CMC Markets, The, of, Petroleum, Thursday's U.S, Federal Reserve, National Australia Bank, bbl, Thomson Locations: China, BEIJING, OPEC, Auckland, June's, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Ukraine, Baden, 2H23, New York, Beijing

An aerial view shows a crude oil tanker at an oil terminal off Waidiao island in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China January 4, 2023. China Daily via REUTERSBEIJING, Aug 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices eased in Asian morning trade on Wednesday as concerns over slow demand from top crude importer China grew after bearish trade and inflation data, outweighing fears over tighter supply arising from output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia. "Oil prices are struggling to further rise because of lingering concerns over a sluggish recovery in China's economy and fuel demand," said Chiyoki Chen, chief analyst at Sunward Trading. Both benchmarks notched their sixth consecutive weekly gains last week, the longest winning streak since December 2021 to January 2022, helped by a reduction in OPEC+ supplies and hopes of stimulus boosting an oil demand recovery in China. In another bearish sign, U.S. crude oil stocks rose by 4.1 million barrels last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

Persons: Brent, Chiyoki Chen, Yuka Obayashi, Andrew Hayley, Jamie Freed, Sonali Paul Organizations: REUTERS, . West Texas, Sunward, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Saudi, Thomson Locations: Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, REUTERS BEIJING, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, Europe, Saudi, Tokyo, Beijing

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